论文标题

(d,p)转移反应中参数不确定性的完整量化

The complete quantification of parametric uncertainties in (d,p) transfer reactions

论文作者

Catacora-Rios, M., Lovell, Amy E., Nunes, Filomena M.

论文摘要

先前的工作量化了与核子和目标之间的光电位相关的不确定性。在这项研究中,我们还通过包括与最终结合状态的重叠函数相关的平均场的参数扩展了这项工作,从而获得了转移可观察到的完整参数不确定性。我们使用贝叶斯马尔可夫链蒙特卡洛模拟来获得参数后分布。我们使用弹性散布横截面来限制光电位参数,并使用最终状态的渐近归一化系数来限制结合状态的相互作用。然后,我们将这些后代传播到转移角度分布,并获得可观察到的置信区间。我们在14C,16O和48CA上研究(D,P)在E = 10-24 MeV范围内的14C,16O和48CA。我们的结果表明,通过使用渐近归一化系数作为约束,不确定性的降低大大降低,尤其是对于那些对均值场中歧义性最敏感的反应。对于这些反应,限制结合状态相互作用的重要性等于约束光势的重要性。 14c的情况是一个异常值,因为它填充了光环状态,并且可观察到的对核内部的敏感性不太敏感。我们得出的结论是,当对核子目标相互作用的参数中使用最小的约束时,差分横截面上的68%置信区间不确定性非常大(〜140-185%)。但是,如果在分析中使用弹性散射数据和渐近归一化系数,误差为10%(5%),则这种不确定性将降低至〜30%(〜15%)。

Previous work quantified the uncertainty associated with the optical potentials between the nucleons and the target. In this study, we extend that work by also including the parameters of the mean field associated with the overlap function of the final bound state, thus obtaining the full parametric uncertainty on transfer observables. We use Bayesian Markov Chain Monte Carlo simulations to obtain parameter posterior distributions. We use elastic-scattering cross sections to constrain the optical potential parameters and use the asymptotic normalization coefficient of the final state to constrain the bound state interaction. We then propagate these posteriors to the transfer angular distributions and obtain confidence intervals for this observable. We study (d,p) reactions on 14C, 16O, and 48Ca at energies in the range E=10-24 MeV. Our results show a strong reduction in uncertainty by using the asymptotic normalization coefficient as a constraint, particularly for those reactions most sensitive to ambiguities in the mean-field. For those reactions, the importance of constraining the bound state interaction is equal to that of constrain the optical potentials. The case of 14C is an outlier because it populates a halo state, and the observable is less sensitive to the nuclear interior. We conclude that when minimal constraints are used on the parameters of the nucleon-target interaction, the 68% confidence interval uncertainties on the differential cross sections are very large (~ 140-185%). However, if elastic-scattering data and the asymptotic normalization coefficient are used in the analysis, with an error of 10% (5%), this uncertainty reduces to ~30% (~15%).

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