论文标题
部分可观测时空混沌系统的无模型预测
Differentially Private Multivariate Statistics with an Application to Contingency Table Analysis
论文作者
论文摘要
储层计算是预测湍流的有力工具,其简单的架构具有处理大型系统的计算效率。然而,其实现通常需要完整的状态向量测量和系统非线性知识。我们使用非线性投影函数将系统测量扩展到高维空间,然后将其输入到储层中以获得预测。我们展示了这种储层计算网络在时空混沌系统上的应用,该系统模拟了湍流的若干特征。我们表明,使用径向基函数作为非线性投影器,即使只有部分观测并且不知道控制方程,也能稳健地捕捉复杂的系统非线性。最后,我们表明,当测量稀疏、不完整且带有噪声,甚至控制方程变得不准确时,我们的网络仍然可以产生相当准确的预测,从而为实际湍流系统的无模型预测铺平了道路。
Differential privacy (DP) has become a rigorous central concept for privacy protection in the past decade. We use Gaussian differential privacy (GDP) in gauging the level of privacy protection for releasing statistical summaries from data. The GDP is a natural and easy-to-interpret differential privacy criterion based on the statistical hypothesis testing framework. The Gaussian mechanism is a natural and fundamental mechanism that can be used to perturb multivariate statistics to satisfy a $μ$-GDP criterion, where $μ>0$ stands for the level of privacy protection. Requiring a certain level of differential privacy inevitably leads to a loss of statistical utility. We improve ordinary Gaussian mechanisms by developing rank-deficient James-Stein Gaussian mechanisms for releasing private multivariate statistics, and show that the proposed mechanisms have higher statistical utilities. Laplace mechanisms, the most commonly used mechanisms in the pure DP framework, are also investigated under the GDP criterion. We show that optimal calibration of multivariate Laplace mechanisms requires more information on the statistic than just the global sensitivity, and derive the minimal amount of Laplace perturbation for releasing $μ$-GDP contingency tables. Gaussian mechanisms are shown to have higher statistical utilities than Laplace mechanisms, except for very low levels of privacy. The utility of proposed multivariate mechanisms is further demonstrated using differentially private hypotheses tests on contingency tables. Bootstrap-based goodness-of-fit and homogeneity tests, utilizing the proposed rank-deficient James--Stein mechanisms, exhibit higher powers than natural competitors.