论文标题
部分可观测时空混沌系统的无模型预测
Large deviations for the volume of $k$-nearest neighbor balls
论文作者
论文摘要
储层计算是预测湍流的有力工具,其简单的架构具有处理大型系统的计算效率。然而,其实现通常需要完整的状态向量测量和系统非线性知识。我们使用非线性投影函数将系统测量扩展到高维空间,然后将其输入到储层中以获得预测。我们展示了这种储层计算网络在时空混沌系统上的应用,该系统模拟了湍流的若干特征。我们表明,使用径向基函数作为非线性投影器,即使只有部分观测并且不知道控制方程,也能稳健地捕捉复杂的系统非线性。最后,我们表明,当测量稀疏、不完整且带有噪声,甚至控制方程变得不准确时,我们的网络仍然可以产生相当准确的预测,从而为实际湍流系统的无模型预测铺平了道路。
This paper develops the large deviations theory for the point process associated with the Euclidean volume of $k$-nearest neighbor balls centered around the points of a homogeneous Poisson or a binomial point processes in the unit cube. Two different types of large deviation behaviors of such point processes are investigated. Our first result is the Donsker-Varadhan large deviation principle, under the assumption that the centering terms for the volume of $k$-nearest neighbor balls grow to infinity more slowly than those needed for Poisson convergence. Additionally, we also study large deviations based on the notion of $\mathcal M_0$-topology, which takes place when the centering terms tend to infinity sufficiently fast, compared to those for Poisson convergence. As applications of our main theorems, we discuss large deviations for the number of Poisson or binomial points of degree at most $k$ in a geometric graph in the dense regime.