论文标题
椰子是一种新型的太阳能电晕模拟的快速转换MHD模型:II。评估输入磁图对空间天气的影响至少在活动中预测
COCONUT, a novel fast-converging MHD model for solar corona simulations: II. Assessing the impact of the input magnetic map on space-weather forecasting at minimum of activity
论文作者
论文摘要
本文致力于新的隐式非结构化冠状代码椰子,该椰子旨在为太空天气预报提供快速,准确的输入,以替代经验模型。我们使用太阳光球的所有20个可用磁图,涵盖2019年7月2日的日期,该日期对应于地球上的日食。我们在所有地图上使用相同的标准预处理,然后执行具有相同数值和物理参数的冠状MHD模拟。最后,我们使用来自遥感观测值的三个指标来量化每个地图的性能:彩带边缘的白色光线日食图像,冠状孔的EUV Symoptic Maps和Heliospheric Current eftrand的White-Light Coronagraph图像。我们讨论了太空天气预报的性能,并表明输入磁图的选择具有很大的影响。我们发现,流媒体边缘的24%至85%之间的性能,冠状孔边界的24%至88%,在气压电流板位的表现之间的表现在4至12度之间的平均偏差。我们发现,HMI运行在所有指标上的表现都更好,其中锣将是第二好的选择。 HMI运行的表现更好,用于流媒体的边缘,极地冠状孔的锣饰,赤道冠状孔的HMI同步和流媒体带。我们特别展示了填充杆的重要性。这表明即使是黄道平面预防,也必须考虑太阳能电线杆。
This paper is dedicated to the new implicit unstructured coronal code COCONUT, which aims at providing fast and accurate inputs for space weather forecast as an alternative to empirical models. We use all 20 available magnetic maps of the solar photosphere covering the date of the 2nd of July 2019 which corresponds to a solar eclipse on Earth. We use the same standard pre-processing on all maps, then perform coronal MHD simulations with the same numerical and physical parameters. In the end, we quantify the performance for each map using three indicators from remote-sensing observations: white-light total solar eclipse images for the streamers' edges, EUV synoptic maps for coronal holes and white-light coronagraph images for the heliospheric current sheet. We discuss the performance for space weather forecasts and we show that the choice of the input magnetic map has a strong impact. We find performances between 24% to 85% for the streamers' edges, 24% to 88% for the coronal hole boundaries and a mean deviation between 4 to 12 degrees for the heliospheric current sheet position. We find that the HMI runs are globally performing better on all indicators, with the GONG-ADAPT being the second-best choice. HMI runs perform better for the streamers' edges, GONG-ADAPT for polar coronal holes, HMI synchronic for equatorial coronal holes and for the streamer belt. We especially showcase the importance of the filling of the poles. This demonstrates that the solar poles have to be taken into account even for ecliptic plane previsions.