论文标题
从随机天气到推定的混沌地球系统
From the Stochastic Weather to a Putative Chaotic Earth System
论文作者
论文摘要
在此简短报告中,我们讨论了确定天气条件的物理参数的持续变化可能导致长期气候变化。天气模式的这种差异是对持续的随机短期天气激发的响应,这些天气激发在海洋 - 大圈 - 晶层 - 地球系统中。鉴于地球系统在人类的行动中占主导地位,它响应了人类活动的强度和变化率。因此,我们在地球系统的特定模型的背景下认为,这种变化速率可能会承认一种混乱的型行为。
In this brief report we discuss how continuous changes on the physical parameters that determine the weather conditions may lead to long term climate variability. This variability of the weather patterns are a response to continuous random short period weather excitations that are imprinted in the ocean-atmosphere-cryosphere-land system, the Earth System. Given that Earth System is, in the Anthropocene, dominated by the human action, it responds to the intensity and the rate of change of the humankind activities. Thus, we argue, in the context of a specific model of the Earth System, that this rate of change may admit a chaotic-type behaviour.