论文标题

关于蒙基太孵化期,生成时间和繁殖数量的早期估计,2022年5月至6月

Early estimates on monkeypox incubation period, generation time and reproduction number in Italy, May-June 2022

论文作者

Guzzetta, Giorgio, Mammone, Alessia, Ferraro, Federica, Caraglia, Anna, Rapiti, Alessia, Marziano, Valentina, Poletti, Piero, Cereda, Danilo, Vairo, Francesco, Mattei, Giovanna, Maraglino, Francesco, Rezza, Giovanni, Merler, Stefano

论文摘要

我们分析了2022年意大利发生的前255例PCR确认的蒙基毒剂病例。初步估计表明:平均孵育周期为9.1天(平均值为95%CI:6.5-10.9);平均生成时间为12.5天(平均值为95%:7.5-17.3); 2.43的MSM社区(95%CI:1.82-3.26)的繁殖编号。

We analyzed the first 255 PCR-confirmed cases of monkeypox occurred in Italy in 2022. Preliminary estimates indicate: mean incubation period of 9.1 days (95%CI of the mean: 6.5-10.9); mean generation time of 12.5 days (95%CI of the mean: 7.5-17.3); reproduction number in the MSM community of 2.43 (95%CI: 1.82-3.26).

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