论文标题
部分可观测时空混沌系统的无模型预测
f-divergences and their applications in lossy compression and bounding generalization error
论文作者
论文摘要
储层计算是预测湍流的有力工具，其简单的架构具有处理大型系统的计算效率。然而，其实现通常需要完整的状态向量测量和系统非线性知识。我们使用非线性投影函数将系统测量扩展到高维空间，然后将其输入到储层中以获得预测。我们展示了这种储层计算网络在时空混沌系统上的应用，该系统模拟了湍流的若干特征。我们表明，使用径向基函数作为非线性投影器，即使只有部分观测并且不知道控制方程，也能稳健地捕捉复杂的系统非线性。最后，我们表明，当测量稀疏、不完整且带有噪声，甚至控制方程变得不准确时，我们的网络仍然可以产生相当准确的预测，从而为实际湍流系统的无模型预测铺平了道路。
In this paper, we provide three applications for $f$-divergences: (i) we introduce Sanov's upper bound on the tail probability of the sum of independent random variables based on super-modular $f$-divergence and show that our generalized Sanov's bound strictly improves over ordinary one, (ii) we consider the lossy compression problem which studies the set of achievable rates for a given distortion and code length. We extend the rate-distortion function using mutual $f$-information and provide new and strictly better bounds on achievable rates in the finite blocklength regime using super-modular $f$-divergences, and (iii) we provide a connection between the generalization error of algorithms with bounded input/output mutual $f$-information and a generalized rate-distortion problem. This connection allows us to bound the generalization error of learning algorithms using lower bounds on the $f$-rate-distortion function. Our bound is based on a new lower bound on the rate-distortion function that (for some examples) strictly improves over previously best-known bounds.
