论文标题
机器学习以支持儿童重症监护病房中有癫痫发作风险的儿童的分类
Machine Learning to Support Triage of Children at Risk for Epileptic Seizures in the Pediatric Intensive Care Unit
论文作者
论文摘要
目的:癫痫发作在接受儿科重症监护病房(PICU)的关键儿童中相对常见,因此是鉴定和治疗的重要目标。这些癫痫发作大多数没有明显的临床表现,但仍然对发病率和死亡率产生重大影响。使用连续的电脑图(CEEG)监测PICU内有癫痫发作风险的儿童。 CEEG监视成本相当大,并且由于可用机器的数量始终有限,因此临床医生需要根据感知的风险诉诸患者,以分配资源。这项研究旨在开发一种计算机辅助工具,以使用PICU中的普遍记录的信号(即心电图)(ECG),改善批判性儿童的癫痫发作风险评估。方法:基于从ECG记录的第一个小时和患者的临床数据提取的特征,以患者级的方法开发了一种新的数据驱动模型。主要结果:最预测的特征是患者的年龄,作为昏迷病因和QRS区域的脑损伤。对于没有任何事先临床数据的患者,使用一小时的心电图记录,随机森林分类器的分类性能达到了接收器操作特征曲线(AUROC)评分为0.84的区域。当将ECG特征与患者临床病史相结合时,AUROC达到0.87。意义:采用真正的临床方案,我们估计我们的临床决策支持工具可以将阳性预测值提高到临床标准的59%以上。
Objective: Epileptic seizures are relatively common in critically-ill children admitted to the pediatric intensive care unit (PICU) and thus serve as an important target for identification and treatment. Most of these seizures have no discernible clinical manifestation but still have a significant impact on morbidity and mortality. Children that are deemed at risk for seizures within the PICU are monitored using continuous-electroencephalogram (cEEG). cEEG monitoring cost is considerable and as the number of available machines is always limited, clinicians need to resort to triaging patients according to perceived risk in order to allocate resources. This research aims to develop a computer aided tool to improve seizures risk assessment in critically-ill children, using an ubiquitously recorded signal in the PICU, namely the electrocardiogram (ECG). Approach: A novel data-driven model was developed at a patient-level approach, based on features extracted from the first hour of ECG recording and the clinical data of the patient. Main results: The most predictive features were the age of the patient, the brain injury as coma etiology and the QRS area. For patients without any prior clinical data, using one hour of ECG recording, the classification performance of the random forest classifier reached an area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (AUROC) score of 0.84. When combining ECG features with the patients clinical history, the AUROC reached 0.87. Significance: Taking a real clinical scenario, we estimated that our clinical decision support triage tool can improve the positive predictive value by more than 59% over the clinical standard.