论文标题

气候变化研究与气候变化政策有多相关?基于Overton数据的经验分析

How relevant is climate change research for climate change policy? An empirical analysis based on Overton data

论文作者

Bornmann, Lutz, Haunschild, Robin, Boyack, Kevin, Marx, Werner, Minx, Jan C.

论文摘要

自多年来,气候变化是社会几乎所有领域的持续话题。在不提及科学结果的情况下,讨论气候变化是无法想象的。政策尤其如此,因为需要对宏观量表的行动避免对社会造成昂贵的后果。在这项研究中,我们处理了如何连接气候变化和政策研究的问题。 2019年,发布了新的Overton策略文件数据库,其中包括与政策文件引用的研究论文的链接。关于气候变化研究的结果和建议的使用可能反映在政策文件中的科学论文中。尽管我们怀疑与Overton的政策文件的覆盖范围有关的许多不确定性,但国际气候政策周期似乎对政策文件出版产生了影响。我们在气候政策文件中观察到围绕国际气候外交中的重大决定的地方峰。我们的结果指出,IGO和智囊团(着眼于气候变化)已发布了比预期的更多的气候变化政策文件。我们发现,在气候变化政策文件中引用的气候变化论文平均收到的引用要比这些文件中未引用的气候变化论文要多得多。社会的两个领域(科学和政策)都集中在类似的气候变化研究领域:生物学,地球科学,工程和疾病科学。基于这些研究中的这些和其他经验结果,我们提出了一个简单的政策模型,考虑到不同文档类型的链条:该链以科学评估报告(系统评价)开头,该报告(系统评价)通过科学沟通文件(政策简介,政策摘要或简单的语言摘要)和政府报告和政府报告。

Climate change is an ongoing topic in nearly all areas of society since many years. A discussion of climate change without referring to scientific results is not imaginable. This is especially the case for policies since action on the macro scale is required to avoid costly consequences for society. In this study, we deal with the question of how research on climate change and policy are connected. In 2019, the new Overton database of policy documents was released including links to research papers that are cited by policy documents. The use of results and recommendations from research on climate change might be reflected in citations of scientific papers in policy documents. Although we suspect a lot of uncertainty related to the coverage of policy documents in Overton, there seems to be an impact of international climate policy cycles on policy document publication. We observe local peaks in climate policy documents around major decisions in international climate diplomacy. Our results point out that IGOs and think tanks -- with a focus on climate change -- have published more climate change policy documents than expected. We found that climate change papers that are cited in climate change policy documents received significantly more citations on average than climate change papers that are not cited in these documents. Both areas of society (science and policy) focus on similar climate change research fields: biology, earth sciences, engineering, and disease sciences. Based on these and other empirical results in this study, we propose a simple model of policy impact considering a chain of different document types: the chain starts with scientific assessment reports (systematic reviews) that lead via science communication documents (policy briefs, policy reports or plain language summaries) and government reports to legislative documents.

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