论文标题

部分可观测时空混沌系统的无模型预测

Cuierzhuang Phenomenon: A model of rural industrialization in north China

论文作者

Tian, Jinghan, Wang, Jianhua

论文摘要

储层计算是预测湍流的有力工具,其简单的架构具有处理大型系统的计算效率。然而,其实现通常需要完整的状态向量测量和系统非线性知识。我们使用非线性投影函数将系统测量扩展到高维空间,然后将其输入到储层中以获得预测。我们展示了这种储层计算网络在时空混沌系统上的应用,该系统模拟了湍流的若干特征。我们表明,使用径向基函数作为非线性投影器,即使只有部分观测并且不知道控制方程,也能稳健地捕捉复杂的系统非线性。最后,我们表明,当测量稀疏、不完整且带有噪声,甚至控制方程变得不准确时,我们的网络仍然可以产生相当准确的预测,从而为实际湍流系统的无模型预测铺平了道路。

Cuierzhuang Phenomenon (or Cuierzhuang Model) is a regional development phenomenon or rural revitalization model driven by ICT in the information era, characterized by the storage and transportation, processing, packaging and online sales of agricultural products, as well as online and offline coordination, long-distance and cross-regional economic cooperation, ethnic blending, equality, and mutual benefit. Unlike the Wenzhou Model, South Jiangsu Model, and Pearl River Model in the 1980s and 1990s, the Cuierzhuang Model is not only a rural revitalization brought about by the industrialization and modernization of northern rural areas with the characteristics of industrial development in the information age, but also an innovative regional economic cooperation and development model with folk nature, spontaneous formation, equality, and mutual benefit. Taking southern Xinjiang as the production base, Xinjiang jujubes from Hotan and Ruoqiang are continuously transported to Cuierzhuang, Cangzhou City, Hebei Province, where they are transferred, cleaned, dried and packaged, and finally sold all over the country. With red dates as a link, the eastern town of Cuierzhuang, which is more than 4,000 kilometers apart, connected with Xinjiang in the western region. Along the ancient Silk Road, the farthest route can reach as far as Kashgar through the southern Xinjiang route. Then, how did this long-distance and cross-regional economic cooperation channel form, what are the regional economics or economic geography principles of Cuierzhuang attracting Xinjiang jujube, and the challenges and opportunities faced by Cuierzhuang phenomenon, etc. A preliminary economic analysis has been carried out in this paper.

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