论文标题

2020年Sturgis摩托车拉力赛和Covid-19

The 2020 Sturgis Motorcycle Rally and COVID-19

论文作者

Cai, Yong, Goehring, Grant

论文摘要

自8月7日至16日举行的Sturgis摩托车集会是自19日爆发开始以来最大的公开聚会之一。来自美国各地的46万名游客前往南达科他州的斯特吉斯参加十天活动。使用匿名手机跟踪数据,我们确定了访客的主县参加集会,并检查集会对COVID-19的蔓延的影响。我们的基线估计值表明,在集会后的几周内,Sturgis出勤率的一项标准偏差增加了Covid-19病例的增长。

The Sturgis Motorcycle Rally that took place from August 7-16 was one of the largest public gatherings since the start of the COVID-19 outbreak. Over 460,000 visitors from across the United States travelled to Sturgis, South Dakota to attend the ten day event. Using anonymous cell phone tracking data we identify the home counties of visitors to the rally and examine the impact of the rally on the spread of COVID-19. Our baseline estimate suggests a one standard deviation increase in Sturgis attendance increased COVID-19 case growth by 1.1pp in the weeks after the rally.

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