论文标题
额外机场出发能力的经济价值
The economic value of additional airport departure capacity
论文作者
论文摘要
本文介绍了机场额外产能的经济价值的模型。该模型基于一系列功能关系，将额外容量的收益和相关成本联系起来。它考虑了航空公司的延误及其对机场的间接后果的成本，这是由于航空和非航空收入的损失。该模型是高度数据驱动的，为此，已经使用了许多数据源。特别是，已使用特殊护理来考虑机场的全部延误分布，而不是仅平均水平。该模型的简单版本的结果表明，在容量方面，存在机场运营利润的独特最大值。该最大的位置显然取决于机场，并且具有有趣的行为，而机场每飞机的平均乘客数量以及飞行出发时间的可预测性。此外，我们还表明，在机场的可预测性和守时性增加之间存在着一个重要的权衡。最后，结果表明，乘客的一个更复杂的行为模型可以在机场利润中引入几个本地最大值，从而将机场驱动到次优的决策。
This article presents a model for the economic value of extra capacity at an airport. The model is based on a series of functional relationships linking the benefits of extra capacity and the associated costs. It takes into account the cost of delay for airlines and its indirect consequences on the airport, through the loss or gain of aeronautical and non-aeronautical revenues. The model is highly data-driven and to this end a number of data sources have been used. In particular, special care has been used to take into account the full distribution of delay at the airports rather than its average only. The results with the simple version of the model show the existence of a unique maximum for the operating profit of the airport in terms of capacity. The position of this maximum is clearly dependent on the airport and also has an interesting behaviour with the average number of passenger per aircraft at the airport and the predictability of the flight departure times. In addition, we also show that there exists an important trade-off between an increased predictability and the punctuality at the airport. Finally, it is shown that a more complex behavioural model for passengers can introduce several local maxima in the airport profit and thus drive the airport towards suboptimal decisions.
