论文标题

一万亿棵树吗?

Is a trillion trees enough?

论文作者

Mesnage, Cédric, Vlachos, Michalis

论文摘要

全球变暖是我们时代的主要环境问题。已经提出,树木的种植可能构成一种减轻人为碳排放量增加的不利影响的方法。我们开发了一个简单的数据驱动模型,以预测各种情况下的全球平均温度,以更好地了解人类干预的结果。我们发现,要保持在巴黎协议设定的1.5度异常下,化石燃料的能源产量需要降低到2050年的预计数字的至少10%,并结合种植一万亿棵树。

Global warming is a major environmental concern of our times. It has been suggested that the planting of trees could constitute a way of mitigating the adverse effects of the increasing anthropogenic carbon emissions. We developed a simple data-driven model to predict the global average temperature in diverse scenarios to better understand the outcome of human interventions. We find that to remain under the 1.5 degree of anomaly set by the Paris agreement, the fossil-fuel energy production needs to decrease to at least 10% of the projected figure in 2050 combined with planting a trillion trees.

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