论文标题

在70年的时间段内分析的政治反应性的统计考虑因素

Statistical Considerations on Political Responsivity Analyzed Over a 70 Years Time Span

论文作者

Cirillo, Matteo

论文摘要

在意大利共和国的70年中,分析了选举人对政治生活的反应的时间演变,其中有18个政治选举。进行分析的基础是意大利内部室内的官方数据,从1948年到2018年,揭示了政治选举的结果。关注集中在参数上,提供有关选举人对国家政治生活的响应性的信息。这些参数以足够百分比表示,是有效的选民数量,这些参数表示空白或变质的选票的百分比。在分析期间,这些参数的时间依赖性显示了规律性,相关性和有趣的特点。该分析涉及代表会议厅和参议员会议厅的结果,每次选举,整个70年的时间范围都是相对于在国家领土上投票的人。

The time evolution of the response of electors to political life is analyzed for the Italian Republic over a 70 years span in which 18 political elections have taken place. The basis for the performed analyses are the official data available from the Italian Ministry of Interiors exposing the results of the political elections from 1948 until 2018. The attention is concentrated on parameters providing information on the responsivity of the electors to country political life. These parameters, expressed in adequate percentages, are the effective number of voters and the percentage of these expressing blank or spoilt ballots. The time dependence of these parameters, over the analyzed period, shows regularities, correlations and interesting peculiarities. The analysis concerns the results for both Chamber of Deputies and Chamber of Senators available, for each election, all along the 70 years time span that are those relative to people voting on the national territory.

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