学术文献库

We introduce the term net-proliferation in the context of fisheries and establish relations between the proliferation and net-proliferation that are economically and sustainably favored. The resulting square root laws are analytically derived for species following the Beverton-Holt recurrence but, we show, can also serve as reference points for other models. The practical relevance of these analytically derived square root laws is tested on the the Barramundi fishery in the Southern Gulf of Carpentaria, Australia. A Beverton-Holt model, including stochasticity to account for model uncertainty, is fitted to a time series of catch and abundance index for this fishery. Simulations show, that despite the stochasticity, the population levels remain sustainable under the square root law. The application, with its inherited model uncertainty, sparks a risk sensitivity analysis regarding the probability of populations falling below an unsustainable threshold. Characterization of such sensitivity helps in the understanding of both dangers of overfishing and potential remedies.