论文标题

评估冠状病毒(COVID-19)流行的不同控制策略的效率

Assessing the Efficiency of Different Control Strategies for the Coronavirus (COVID-19) Epidemic

论文作者

Castilho, César, Gondim, João A. M., Marchesin, Marcelo, Sabeti, Mehran

论文摘要

这项工作的目的是分析巴西冠状病毒(COVID-19)流行病的控制策略的影响。这是通过考虑具有隔离类别和两种控制类型的年龄结构化的SEIR模型来完成的。第一个研究了通过下一代方法计算的基本生殖数R0参数的敏感性。第二个通过比较其相对的死亡总数来评估不同的隔离策略。

The goal of this work is to analyse the effects of control policies for the coronavirus (COVID-19) epidemic in Brazil. This is done by considering an age-structured SEIR model with a quarantine class and two types of controls. The first one studies the sensitivity with regard to the parameters of the basic reproductive number R0 which is calculated by the next generation method. The second one evaluates different quarantine strategies by comparing their relative total number of deaths.

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