论文标题
一类针对投机存储的石油行业的短期模型
A class of short-term models for the oil industry addressing speculative storage
论文作者
论文摘要
这是一项正在进行的工作。目的是根据经济代理人的相互作用提出一种对石油市场短期动态的合理机制。这是一项理论研究，绝不旨在描述石油市场的所有方面。特别是，我们使用游戏理论的工具和术语，但我们没有声称该游戏实际上存在于现实世界中。同时，我们目前正在研究和校准石油行业的长期模型，该模型解决了垄断者与小型生产商竞争性边缘的相互作用。这是另一张纸的对象，即将可用。当前的高级版本不包含与我们的长期模型的所有经济论点和所有联系。它主要解决了模型，方程式和数值模拟的描述，该模拟着重于石油行业短期动态。更完整的版本即将提供。
This is a work in progress. The aim is to propose a plausible mechanism for the short term dynamics of the oil market based on the interaction of economic agents. This is a theoretical research which by no means aim at describing all the aspects of the oil market. In particular, we use the tools and terminology of game theory, but we do not claim that this game actually exists in the real world. In parallel, we are currently studying and calibrating a long term model for the oil industry, which addresses the interactions of a monopolists with a competitive fringe of small producers. It is the object of another paper that will be available soon. The present premiminary version does not contain all the economic arguments and all the connections with our long term model. It mostly addresses the description of the model, the equations and numerical simulations focused on the oil industry short term dynamics. A more complete version will be available soon.
