论文标题
在多代理假设检验中测量的顺序效应
Order Effects of Measurements in Multi-Agent Hypothesis Testing
论文作者
论文摘要
在多代理系统中,代理观察数据,并使用它们来推断并采取行动。结果,从实时的角度来看,自然而然地传感和控制自然会干扰。一个自然的结果是,在多机构系统中,有基于一组观察到的事件的命题,这些命题可能无法同时验证,这导致需要允许这种\ textit {不兼容事件}的概率结构。我们在多代理系统中重新审视事件的结构,并介绍了将这种不兼容的事件纳入形式主义的必要新模型。这些模型对于构建非共同概率模型至关重要,该模型与基于Kolmogorov构造的经典模型不同。从这个角度来看,我们重新审视\ textit {事件状态操作结构}的概念和所需的\ textit {不兼容的关系},并使用它们作为研究事件集的所需新代数结构的工具。我们介绍了一个示例来自多代理假设测试,其中一组事件不会形成布尔代数,而是形成正骨。讨论了\ textit {不兼容的事件}的可能构造“非交易概率空间”。我们在非共同概率空间中制定并解决了二元假设检验问题。我们通过计算通过不同的测量顺序可以实现的最小误差概率来说明在多代理假设检验问题中的“顺序效应”的发生。
In multi-agent systems, agents observe data, and use them to make inferences and take actions. As a result sensing and control naturally interfere, more so from a real-time perspective. A natural consequence is that in multi-agent systems there are propositions based on the set of observed events that might not be simultaneously verifiable, which leads to the need for probability structures that allow such \textit{incompatible events}. We revisit the structure of events in a multi-agent system and we introduce the necessary new models that incorporate such incompatible events in the formalism. These models are essential for building non-commutative probability models, which are different than the classical models based on the Kolmogorov construction. From this perspective, we revisit the concepts of \textit{event-state-operation structure} and the needed \textit{relationship of incompatibility} from the literature and use them as a tool to study the needed new algebraic structure of the set of events. We present an example from multi-agent hypothesis testing where the set of events does not form a Boolean algebra, but forms an ortholattice. A possible construction of a `noncommutative probability space', accounting for \textit{incompatible events} is discussed. We formulate and solve the binary hypothesis testing problem in the noncommutative probability space. We illustrate the occurrence of `order effects' in the multi-agent hypothesis testing problem by computing the minimum probability of error that can be achieved with different orders of measurements.