论文标题

关于意大利共同19的流行病的一些数值观察

Some numerical observations about the COVID-19 epidemic in Italy

论文作者

Zullo, Federico

论文摘要

我们对意大利SARS-COV-2感染的总数进行了一些数值观察。该分析基于涉及两个参数的Tanh公式。参数之间的多项式相关性给出了新感染峰时的上限。引入了上限的时间变异性的数值指标。在结论中讨论了结果和将分析扩展到其他国家的可能性。

We give some numerical observations on the total number of infected by the SARS-CoV-2 in Italy. The analysis is based on a tanh formula involving two parameters. A polynomial correlation between the parameters gives an upper bound for the time of the peak of new infected. A numerical indicator of the temporal variability of the upper bound is introduced. The result and the possibility to extend the analysis to other countries are discussed in the conclusions.

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