论文标题

DSMCL:多模式轨迹预测的双级随机多项选择学习

DsMCL: Dual-Level Stochastic Multiple Choice Learning for Multi-Modal Trajectory Prediction

论文作者

Wang, Zehan, Zhou, Sihong, Huang, Yuyao, Tian, Wei

论文摘要

为了驾驶安全性和效率,自动化车辆应该能够在复杂的动态环境中预测周围交通参与者的行为。为了完成这样的任务,轨迹预测是关键。尽管许多研究人员从事这个主题,但仍然具有挑战性。重要和固有的因素之一是车辆运动的多模式。由于在相同条件下的不同驾驶行为,车辆轨迹的预测也应该是多模式的。目前,相关的研究或多或少地存在多模式轨迹预测的缺点,例如需要明确的模态标签或由采样引起的多个正向传播。在这项工作中,我们专注于克服这些问题,通过指出车辆运动中多模式特征的双重级别,并提出双级随机多种选择学习方法(简称为DSMCL,简称为DSMCL)。此方法不需要模态标签,并且可以通过单个正向传播实现全面的概率多模式轨迹预测。通过在NGSIM和High Dataset上进行的实验,我们的方法已证明在几个轨迹预测框架上得到了重大改进,并实现了最新的性能。

For both driving safety and efficiency, automated vehicles should be able to predict the behavior of surrounding traffic participants in a complex dynamic environment. To accomplish such a task, trajectory prediction is the key. Although many researchers have been engaged in this topic, it is still challenging. One of the important and inherent factors is the multi-modality of vehicle motion. Because of the disparate driving behaviors under the same condition, the prediction of vehicle trajectory should also be multi-modal. At present, related researches have more or less shortcomings for multi-modal trajectory prediction, such as requiring explicit modal labels or multiple forward propagation caused by sampling. In this work, we focus on overcoming these issues by pointing out the dual-levels of multi-modal characteristics in vehicle motion and proposing the dual-level stochastic multiple choice learning method (named as DsMCL, for short). This method does not require modal labels and can implement a comprehensive probabilistic multi-modal trajectory prediction by a single forward propagation. By experiments on the NGSIM and HighD datasets, our method has proven significant improvement on several trajectory prediction frameworks and achieves state-of-the-art performance.

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