论文标题
概率理论是如何以及为什么出现的？
How and Why Did Probability Theory Come About?
论文作者
论文摘要
本文是关于从史前起源到现代发展的概率发展的几个阶段的自上而下的历史观点，它是人工智能，数据科学和机器学习的关键方法之一。它是为了纪念巴里·阿诺德（Barry Arnold）的生日而写的，因为他对统计理论和方法论的贡献。尽管Barry的大部分工作都是技术性的，但标志着他的成就的描述性文件不应被视为不合时宜。巴里（Barry）在斯坦福大学（Stanford）的论文顾问（他在那里获得了统计学博士学位）是一位科学哲学家，他深深地挖掘了概率的基础和根源，而这正是巴里（Barry）固有的观点。该论文基于由各种已发表来源的第一作者和很长一段时间的作者编写的讲座材料。下面的材料提供了有限的参考文献清单，因为角色的演员阵容很多，它们的贡献是我们这些对概率，统计数据以及他们产生的许多主题感兴趣的历史遗产的一部分。
This paper is a top down historical perspective on the several phases in the development of probability from its prehistoric origins to its modern day evolution, as one of the key methodologies in artificial intelligence, data science, and machine learning. It is written in honor of Barry Arnold's birthday for his many contributions to statistical theory and methodology. Despite the fact that much of Barry's work is technical, a descriptive document to mark his achievements should not be viewed as being out of line. Barry's dissertation adviser at Stanford (he received a Ph.D. in Statistics there) was a philosopher of Science who dug deep in the foundations and roots of probability, and it is this breadth of perspective is what Barry has inherent. The paper is based on lecture materials compiled by the first author from various published sources, and over a long period of time. The material below gives a limited list of references, because the cast of characters is many, and their contributions are a part of the historical heritage of those of us who are interested in probability, statistics, and the many topics they have spawned.
