论文标题

在中国新型冠状病毒(2019-NCOV)引起的传染性疾病进化的预测

Forecast of the evolution of the contagious disease caused by novel coronavirus (2019-nCoV) in China

论文作者

Gamero, Javier, Tamayo, Juan A., Martinez-Roman, Juan A.

论文摘要

中国新型冠状病毒(2019-NCOV)的爆发引起了病毒流行,影响了数万人。尽管这种流行病的危险很明显,但对本文提供的数据的统计分析表明,中国新病例的增加将在未来几天或几周内稳定。我们的预测可以评估风险并控制这种疾病的演变。

The outbreak of novel coronavirus (2019-nCoV) in China has caused a viral epidemic affecting tens of thousands of persons. Though the danger of this epidemic is evident, the statistical analysis of data offered in this paper indicates that the increase in new cases in China will stabilize in the coming days or weeks. Our forecast could serve to evaluate risks and control the evolution of this disease.

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